IMPACT · EVIDENCE-FIRST
Measure what changed.
Baseline → Target → Actual — with clear source, quality, and limitations. No inflated claims. Observed vs modeled, audit-logged.
Baseline → Target → ActualObserved vs modeled
BASELINE
45 min
observed · survey 2024 · n=340 households
Travel time to nearest hospital during monsoon. Measured before intervention.
TARGET
22 min
modeled · after road upgrade · -51%
Engineered target assuming all-weather connectivity. Conservative estimate.
ACTUAL
28 min
observed · post-survey · n=312 households
Post-implementation measured. Gap due to last-mile drainage — next phase.
Observed · verified
TransparencyAll figures carry source, measurement date, and data quality. Estimated impact is always labeled ESTIMATED.API — baselines & actuals →
OBSERVED VS MODELED
We never conflate prediction with measurement.
OBSERVED CHANGES
Travel time 45→28 min measured via household survey (pre/post). Sample: 340 → 312 households. Source: field survey, measurement quality: high.
ESTIMATED IMPACT
Projected 23% reduction in missed school days, 18% increase in clinic visits — modeled from travel-time elasticity. Labeled ESTIMATED until next survey.
Limitations: last-mile drainage not yet upgraded; monsoon 2024 was milder than 2023 baseline. Next measurement: post-monsoon 2025.
How we track a project
- 1Baseline — survey → value, source, date, quality.
- 2Target — engineered expectation + assumptions.
- 3Actual — post-implementation observed measurement.
- 4Compare — gap analysis → next phase decision.
GOVERNANCE
Every impact record carries baseline, target, actual, source, quality, limitations. Nothing is presented as fact without provenance.
GovernanceWant to see the live loop?
Government dashboard shows candidate projects moving through reviewed → funded → in progress → completed → impact measured.